Measuring The Damage

This piece originally appeared in the IPA Review.

Before coming to the IPA, I had a small role in a Victorian Education Department team implementing Gonski school reforms. The department developed school performance targets and a reforms package that would, among other things, help schools identify their strengths and weaknesses. To what extent would the reforms move schools closer to the targets, the minister’s office asked? So we then had to somehow score the reforms against the targets, and estimate how much progress would be provided by funding.

The folly of such exercises is well-captured in Jerry Z. Muller’s The Tyranny of Metrics, released last year. Muller, an historian at the Catholic University of America, argues that metric fixation has overrun bureaucracies, public and private, distorting their behaviour and ultimately frustrating their purposes. Metric fixation replaces experience and discretion with institutional targets and measures, argues that all inputs and outputs should be reported (transparent), and connects rewards and penalties to performance against metrics. The result is that institutions pursue only their most obvious and measurable tasks, leading to the corruption of their internal information flows and ultimately to waste and inefficiency. Muller observes that “measurement may become counterproductive when it tries to measure the unmeasurable and quantify the unquantifiable”.

Not all metrics are useless. Muller notes accurate measurement against readily identifiable ends is desirable when possible. The trick is to distinguish between good and bad uses. To this end, he dedicates the bulk of the book to case studies taken from across society, demonstrating the problem is not limited to the public sphere. Businesses and charities have been just as charmed by made-up numbers and phony rigour as schools, universities, medicine, policing, and the military.

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Urban Force

This piece, an interview with John Carroll by me and Scott Hargreaves, originally appeared in the IPA Review.

The growing vibrancy of Sydney and Melbourne will keep underwriting Australia’s growing prosperity well into the 21st century, provided bureaucrats don’t strangle our cities with red tape.

So says John Carroll, Emeritus Professor of Sociology at La Trobe University, and author of 11 books on Australian culture. His latest, Land of the Golden Cities: Australia’s Exceptional Prosperity & the Culture That Made It, was launched by the IPA’s executive director John Roskam in Brisbane.

Editor of the IPA Review Scott Hargreaves (SH) and Research Fellow Andrew Bushnell (AB) interviewed Carroll (JC) to delve deeper into his insights about Australia’s prosperity and cultural identity.

AB: The country that famously rode the sheep’s back now rises on its special talent for vibrant metropolitanism. Why have our cities become so important, and what brought you to write Land of the Golden Cities?

JC:I’ve lived most of my life in Australia, and I like the place. This is an act of gratitude and tribute through a reflection on what makes the place tick. I’ve spent my professional life as a sociologist thinking about how people find meaning in their lives, or don’t, and what holds societies together. That converged with my grand ambition to ask what makes Australian society work, what are its key ingredients?

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US Criminal Justice Reform A Lesson For Us

ORIGINALLY APPEARED IN THE AUSTRALIAN

US President Donald Trump’s endorsement of criminal justice reform is a landmark for conser­vatives. After campaigning as the “law and order candidate”, Trump has been won over by the argument that government can reduce the growth of incarceration, boost rehabilitation and save money in the long term.

Trump’s support for the new approach cements its position as the new conservative orthodoxy. How this came to be so is something the Australian Centre-Right needs to study carefully.

Last week, Trump held a celebration for the passage of the First Step Act, which he signed into law in December. The act creates incentives for federal prisoners to participate in vocational education, repeals mandatory sen­tences for drug crimes and restores some judicial discretion for other nonviolent crimes.

Or as Trump explained: “Nonviolent offenders will have the oppor­tunity to participate in vocational training, education and drug treatment programs. When they get out of prison they will be ready to get a job instead of turning back to a life of crime.”

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Labor’s Electric Car Plan Won’t Help Ordinary Australians

ORIGINALLY APPEARED IN THE DAILY TELEGRAPH

What do Bill Shorten and Mike from Married At First Sight have in common?

They are both gaslighting the entire nation.

Gaslighting is when someone tells you a story so contradictory of known facts that you come to doubt your sense of reality.

Mike has become notorious for trying to confuse his television bride Heidi by blatantly denying that he has said or done things that have been witnessed by millions of viewers.

Now comes Shorten as a new contender for gaslighter-in-chief, spinning a wild tale of all the riches we stand to gain from the government forcing us all into electric cars—despite us having every reason to believe the proposal would cripple the economy, make us all poorer, and achieve absolutely nothing

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Queensland’s Rising Incarceration Rate Calls For Criminal Justice Overhaul

ORIGINALLY APPEARED IN COURIER MAIL

Queenslanders are facing a massive increase in criminal justice costs but without any promise the spending will lead to safer communities.

This is the key finding of a new Queensland Productivity Commission report on incarceration and reoffending.

The report shows a radical rise in the number of Queenslanders going to prison. The incarceration rate, meaning the proportion of adults who are in prison, has risen 44 per cent since 2012.

There are more than 9000 offenders in Queensland prisons, which are at 130 per cent capacity.

On average, each prisoner costs state taxpayers $107,000 per year. This works out to about $900 million each year for incarceration. What’s more, the report estimates that taxpayers are on the hook for up to $6.5 billion in new prison construction. That sort of money can buy a lot of schools and roads. Or hire more police.

Of course, by themselves these numbers do not tell the whole story. If every extra dollar makes us safer, then these are dollars well-spent.

But there is growing evidence that prison does not always increase community safety.

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